Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
Super League · China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Hangzhou Greentown
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Late Chongqing Equalizer Cancels Out Hangzhou Lead in Stalemate
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Hangzhou Greentown played out a 1-1 draw at the Tongliang Long Stadium, with both sides settling for a point after a hard-fought encounter. Hangzhou struck first, taking the lead in the 21st minute, but Chongqing responded with a late equalizer in the 81st minute to ensure the spoils were shared. The match saw moments of intensity but neither side could fully assert dominance, with Hangzhou picking up two yellow cards in a physical contest. Despite the lack of detailed statistical data, the timing of the goals and the card count suggest a match of shifting momentum, where Chongqing's resilience ultimately paid dividends late on.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
21' — Goal
Hangzhou Greentown take the lead with a well-taken goal.
81' — Goal
Chongqing Tongliang Long equalize late, breaking Hangzhou's resistance.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Hangzhou Greentown receive their first yellow card, signaling rising tension.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Hangzhou Greentown pick up a second yellow card as Chongqing press for an equalizer.
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long showed commendable spirit, coming from behind to secure a point at home. After conceding early, they maintained their composure and kept pushing for an equalizer, which finally arrived in the closing stages of the match. Their ability to stay disciplined—evidenced by not receiving any cards—was notable, and their persistence was rewarded late on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown began brightly, capitalizing on their early momentum with a goal in the 21st minute. They managed the game well for long periods, but their inability to kill off the contest and two yellow cards late on hinted at mounting pressure. Ultimately, their defense was breached late, leaving them to rue missed opportunities to secure all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no clear formation data, both teams appeared to approach the match with a balance between attack and defense. Hangzhou Greentown's early goal suggested an aggressive start, possibly pressing high or exploiting Chongqing's defensive gaps. Chongqing, meanwhile, demonstrated patience and discipline, gradually increasing their attacking intent as the match progressed. The absence of cards for Chongqing points to a controlled defensive approach, while Hangzhou's two bookings indicate a more combative or pressured second half, likely as they sought to protect their lead.
Turning Point
Chongqing's 81st-minute equalizer shifted the momentum and ensured the match ended level, undoing Hangzhou's long-held advantage.
Man of the Match
Chongqing Tongliang Long Goal Scorer
Came up with the decisive equalizer in the 81st minute to rescue a point for the hosts.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown: Match Preview
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in second place, boasting a strong home record (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) and just two defeats in their last ten league matches. Their recent form is steady if unspectacular (DLWWL), and they have not failed to score in any of their last five outings. Hangzhou Greentown, in contrast, sit 11th and have lost four of their last six, including back-to-back defeats on the road, but they do possess a dangerous attack that averages 1.44 goals per away match.
Statistically, this matchup is shaped by Hangzhou's leaky away defence (19 conceded in 9 away games), which is among the worst in the division. Chongqing's attack is not prolific but is efficient at home, scoring 13 in 9. Both sides see over 2.5 goals in a majority of their games—Hangzhou at nearly 59%, Chongqing at 39%—and both teams have scored in three of their last five. Hangzhou generate far more shots and corners (14 shots, 5.4 corners per last 5) but are vulnerable to counter-attacks and set pieces.
The model expects Chongqing's defensive structure and home advantage to edge a high-chance, moderately high-scoring contest. Hangzhou's attack should create opportunities, but their defensive frailty away from home makes them underdogs. A 2-1 home win is most probable, with the main risk being Hangzhou's ability to convert their shot volume into goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown that most previews miss.
- 1Hangzhou's away matches average 3.56 total goals, highest among all teams in the top half.
- 2Chongqing have kept a clean sheet in 39% of their league matches, but only one in their last four at home.
- 3Hangzhou average 5.4 corners per match over their last five, nearly triple Chongqing's 1.8.
Who do you think wins: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
Both sides average over a goal per game, but Hangzhou's away defence concedes 2.11 per match; Chongqing's home attack is steady, and the 2-1 aligns with the most likely distribution.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Hangzhou's matches go over 2.5 goals 58.82% of the time this season, and both teams' recent games show a trend towards higher scores.
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 5 for both teams, and Hangzhou's attack averages 1.35 goals per game despite a poor defensive record.
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction
This fixture pits a defensively disciplined Chongqing side with a robust home record against a Hangzhou team that scores but leaks goals away from home. Chongqing's home matches average just under 2.5 goals, while Hangzhou's away fixtures see 3.56 goals per game, suggesting a higher goal environment than the hosts' overall rate. Chongqing's edge comes from their ability to limit chances at home (1.0 goals conceded per home match), but Hangzhou's attack—averaging 1.44 goals per away game—should test that resilience. The likeliest outcome is a narrow home win with both teams finding the net.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 matches for each side.
Defence
- →Chongqing have lost only once at home all season (W4 D4 L1), conceding just 9 in 9.
- →Hangzhou's away defence is porous: 19 conceded in 9 away games (2.11 per match).
🚩 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 4.7 for Hangzhou Greentown, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
How Chongqing Tongliang Long and Hangzhou Greentown Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Chongqing Tongliang Longlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hangzhou Greentownlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chongqing Tongliang Long have lost just once in their last five, with a recent home win over Tianjin Teda and a solid away draw at Chengdu. Hangzhou Greentown's form is patchy, with two wins and three losses in their last five, and a concerning trend of heavy defeats away from home.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
What History Says: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown
The only previous meeting this season saw Chongqing win 1-0 away at Hangzhou, suggesting a slight edge but not enough data for a pattern. Both teams have changed shape since, so little can be read into the single result.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
0
Draws
0
Hangzhou Greentown wins
Things to Watch: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown
- ⚠️Only one previous head-to-head, so little direct matchup data.
- ⚠️Hangzhou's attack is volatile—capable of both multi-goal hauls and blanks.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be precisely calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–1 Hangzhou GreentownThe likeliest outcome is a 2-1 win for Chongqing Tongliang Long, driven by Hangzhou's poor away defensive record—over two goals conceded per away game. The main threat to this call is Hangzhou's shot volume and ability to score late, which could push the match towards a draw or a higher-scoring result.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown: Common Questions
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Chongqing Tongliang Long are favoured with a 44% win probability, while Hangzhou Greentown have a 24% chance and the draw stands at 32%. The home side's superior defensive record and Hangzhou's away frailty tip the balance.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, with both sides netting in three of their last five matches. Hangzhou's attack and Chongqing's consistent home scoring make BTTS more likely than not.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability, supported by Hangzhou's 58.82% season rate for this market and their high average goals in away games (3.56 per match).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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