Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Predictions
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Tianjin Teda
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6.8/10Tianjin Teda Clinch Late Second to Sink Qingdao Jonoon in Super League Clash
Tianjin Teda secured a composed 2-0 away victory over Qingdao Jonoon at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, capitalizing on clinical finishing and disciplined defending. The visitors broke the deadlock in the 33rd minute and sealed the three points with a stoppage-time goal, with Qingdao unable to convert their attacking intent into goals despite firing 18 shots and enjoying several promising spells. Qingdao Jonoon, lining up in a 4-4-2, showed attacking ambition but lacked the cutting edge in front of goal. Tianjin Teda’s 4-5-1 setup allowed them to control possession (52%) and stifle Qingdao’s forwards, while making their own chances count. Both sides picked up two yellow cards each in a competitive affair, but it was Tianjin’s clinical edge that ultimately proved decisive.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 2
Key Moments
33' — Goal
Alberto Quiles opens the scoring for Tianjin Teda, finishing a well-worked move to put the visitors ahead.
45' — Yellow Card
Qingdao Jonoon receive their first yellow card as tempers flare before halftime.
60' — Yellow Card
Tianjin Teda pick up a yellow card as Qingdao push for an equalizer.
75' — Substitution
Qingdao Jonoon bring on fresh legs in attack, shifting their approach in search of a goal.
90' — Goal
Alberto Quiles doubles Tianjin’s lead in stoppage time, sealing the victory.
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Jonoon started with intent, pressing high and generating 18 shots, but only managed to test the goalkeeper five times. Their midfield worked hard to break up Tianjin’s rhythm, but defensive lapses at key moments proved costly. Despite a solid share of possession (48%) and a 4-4-2 formation that encouraged wing play, Qingdao struggled to create clear-cut chances and were ultimately punished on the counter. The hosts’ discipline slipped at times, picking up two yellow cards, and their inability to convert pressure into goals left them frustrated. The late second goal from Tianjin ended any hopes of a comeback.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tianjin Teda
Tianjin Teda executed their game plan to perfection, absorbing pressure and striking at key moments. Their 4-5-1 formation allowed them to control the midfield and keep possession (52%), while maintaining defensive solidity. They made the most of their 13 shots, with four on target and two finding the net, showing a ruthless edge that Qingdao lacked. The visitors balanced composure with aggression, picking up two yellow cards but rarely looking flustered. Their late second goal was a testament to their tactical discipline and ability to manage the game’s tempo.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Qingdao Jonoon’s 4-4-2 formation aimed to stretch the field and create overloads on the flanks, but Tianjin Teda’s compact 4-5-1 stifled their creative outlets. The visitors’ extra man in midfield allowed them to control possession and slow the game down when needed. Qingdao’s high pressing forced some turnovers, but their lack of a clinical finisher was evident as they failed to capitalize on their 18 shots. Tianjin were content to sit deep and hit on the counter, with Alberto Quiles providing a constant threat up front. Substitutions from Qingdao in the second half indicated a tactical shift towards more direct play, but Tianjin’s defensive organization held firm. Set pieces provided Qingdao with some hope (six corners), but the visitors defended resolutely throughout.
Turning Point
Alberto Quiles’ opening goal in the 33rd minute gave Tianjin Teda the confidence and platform to control the match thereafter.
Man of the Match
Alberto Quiles
Scored both goals with clinical precision and led the line superbly for Tianjin Teda.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda: Match Preview
Qingdao Jonoon enter this fixture on a two-match losing streak and sit 14th in the table, just three points above Tianjin Teda in 15th. The home side's recent form is patchy (LLDWL), but their record at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium is solid: five wins from nine, with 17 goals scored. Teda, meanwhile, have found some stability, winning two of their last three and conceding just four goals in their last five matches. Both sides need points to avoid being dragged deeper into the relegation fight.
The tactical matchup is defined by Jonoon's leaky defence—conceding 2.8 per game over their last five—against a Teda attack that has averaged just 1.2 goals in the same span. Jonoon's matches are high-event, with a 63% over 2.5 rate this season, but Teda's away games are tighter (10 goals for, 10 against in eight away). Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and Jonoon have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. Set pieces could be a factor: Teda average 5.6 corners per game recently, while Jonoon's defensive set-piece stats are average.
The model projects a balanced contest, most likely ending 1-1. Jonoon's home attack and Teda's recent defensive improvement point to a match with chances at both ends, but neither side has shown the quality to dominate. Margins are slim, and a single defensive lapse or set-piece goal could decide the outcome.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Jonoon have seen both teams score in each of their last five matches.
- 2Tianjin Teda's away matches average just 2.5 goals, with only two of eight going over 2.5.
- 3Jonoon's home record (5W, 2D, 2L) is among the best in the bottom half, with 17 goals scored in nine games.
Who do you think wins: Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?
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The Case For This Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon's matches have averaged 2.68 goals this season, but their defensive frailty (1.89 conceded per game, clean sheet rate just 10.5%) is offset by Tianjin Teda's more conservative away approach—Teda average 1.25 goals scored and conceded per away match. Both teams are in the bottom three, with Jonoon's home record (5W, 2D, 2L) notably stronger than Teda's away returns (2W, 3D, 3L), yet the visitors' recent form (two wins in their last three) and defensive improvement (0.8 conceded per game over their last five) suggest a close contest. Statistically, Jonoon's attack is more productive at home (1.89 goals per game), but their last five matches show a worrying 2.8 goals conceded on average and no clean sheets. Teda, meanwhile, have tightened up recently and failed to score only once in their last five, but their attack remains modest (1.2 goals per game). The head-to-head series is balanced, with each side winning twice in the last five meetings and three of the last five producing both teams to score. Set pieces could play a role: Teda average 5.6 corners per game in their last five, while Jonoon's defensive set-piece record is unremarkable. The model expects a low-scoring, competitive match, with the most likely outcome a 1-1 draw. Jonoon's defensive record and Teda's away solidity set a ceiling on the goal count, but both teams' need for points and recent BTTS trends (Jonoon 5/5, Teda 2/5) keep both teams to score as a slight favourite. Margins are thin, and a single error or set piece could tip the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Qingdao Jonoon's home attack (1.89 goals/game) faces a Teda defence conceding 1.25 per away game.
- →Jonoon have not kept a clean sheet in their last five, conceding 14 goals in that span.
- →Tianjin Teda's last five matches average just 2.0 total goals, with two clean sheets.
🚩 Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.8 corners for Qingdao Jonoon and 6.2 for Tianjin Teda, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Qingdao Jonoon and Tianjin Teda Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Qingdao Jonoonlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tianjin Tedalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Qingdao Jonoon have lost their last two and conceded eight goals in those matches, with no clean sheets in their last five. Tianjin Teda, by contrast, have won two of their last three and conceded just four in their last five, showing improved defensive resilience. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but Teda's recent uptick gives them a slight momentum edge.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda
Head-to-head is finely balanced: each side has two wins in the last five meetings, with the most recent fixture ending 1-1 in Tianjin. Three of the last five have seen both teams score, and only one of the last five has produced more than three goals. Neither side has established clear dominance in this fixture.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
2
Qingdao Jonoon wins
1
Draws
4
Tianjin Teda wins
Things to Watch: Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so no value bets can be identified.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent, with Jonoon's defensive numbers especially volatile.
- ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed and late injuries or rotations could affect the goal environment.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Tianjin TedaThe most likely result is a 1-1 draw, underpinned by Jonoon's high BTTS rate (100% in last five) and Teda's recent defensive discipline. The single strongest data point is Jonoon's inability to keep clean sheets, but if Teda's attack falters, the match could easily slip under 2.5 goals.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda: Common Questions
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?
The model gives Qingdao Jonoon a 36% chance to win, Tianjin Teda a 30% chance, and a draw 34%. Both teams are in the bottom three and have shown inconsistent form, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda?
There is a 62% probability of both teams scoring, driven by Jonoon's record of BTTS in all of their last five matches and Teda's improved attack. Defensive lapses on both sides support this outcome.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, slightly above average, due to Jonoon's high-scoring home games (63% over 2.5 this season) but tempered by Teda's more cautious away record. Expect a competitive but not wide-open game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.