Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Legia Warszawa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Legia Warszawa
Recommended Bets: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa: Match Preview
Wisla Plock enter this fixture in 12th place, having lost three of their last five matches and conceding nine goals in that stretch. Their home record is steadier (2W, 2D, 1L), but with just six goals scored in five home games, attacking output remains modest. Legia Warszawa, currently third and unbeaten away from home, have drawn four of seven on their travels but boast the league's third-best attack with 25 goals in 14 matches.
The statistical matchup tilts towards Legia: their away scoring rate (1.43 per away game) is comfortably above Wisla Plock's home output (1.2 per home game), while Legia's defence travels well (0.86 conceded per away match). Both sides average nearly two goals conceded per game over the last five, and BTTS has landed in four of Legia's last five league fixtures. Set-piece threat is modest on both sides, with Wisla Plock averaging five corners and Legia three per match recently, while discipline is typical for the league (combined 2.8 yellows per game in recent outings).
Given the shape of the rates and the away side's consistency, the model expects Legia's attack to edge a high-variance contest. With both teams prone to conceding and Legia's unbeaten away run, a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, though a draw remains plausible if Wisla Plock's home defensive numbers hold up.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa that most previews miss.
- 1Legia Warszawa are one of only two Ekstraklasa teams yet to lose away (3W, 4D in 7).
- 2Wisla Plock have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, conceding 1.8 per match in that span.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, with Legia scoring in all ten.
Who do you think wins: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa remain unbeaten away (3W, 4D), while Wisla Plock have only two home wins in five and have lost momentum with three defeats in their last five overall.
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Correct Score: 1–2
Legia's away scoring rate (1.43 per away game) and Wisla Plock's average home concession (1.0 per home game) point to a narrow away win, with both teams' recent matches averaging close to two goals conceded.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Prediction
Legia Warszawa's unbeaten away record and superior scoring rates set them apart from a Wisla Plock side struggling to keep goals out. The underlying numbers point to a match with goals at both ends, but Legia's consistency on the road gives them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head favours Legia (7 wins in last 10), but Wisla Plock have won 2 of the last 3 at home.
Defence
- →Legia Warszawa are unbeaten away from home this season (3W, 4D, 0L, 10 scored, 6 conceded).
- →Wisla Plock have conceded 21 goals in 13 games (1.62 per game), with a clean sheet rate below 25%.
🚩 Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Wisla Plock and 3.6 for Legia Warszawa, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Wisla Plock and Legia Warszawa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Wisla Plocklast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Legia Warszawalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wisla Plock have lost three of their last five and conceded nine goals in that run, with only one clean sheet. Legia Warszawa's recent league form is mixed (WLDLD), but they remain unbeaten away and have scored in 12 of 14 league matches this season.
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa have won seven of the last ten meetings, including three of the last four away at Wisla Plock. However, Wisla Plock have taken two of the last three home encounters, each by a single goal, showing they can be competitive at Orlen Stadion.
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Wisla Plock wins
0
Draws
7
Legia Warszawa wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa
There is no strong value edge against the current Marathonbet odds, with the model's probabilities closely matching bookmaker lines on the 1X2, BTTS, and over/under 2.5 markets. As a result, the best approach is focusing on double chance (X2) and correct score, where the underlying rates favour Legia's consistency away from home.
Odds from Marathonbet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa
- ⚠️Wisla Plock's home defensive record is better than their away form (1.0 conceded per home game vs 2.0 away), which could limit Legia's scoring.
- ⚠️Legia's recent form is patchy (WLDLD in last five), including a heavy home defeat and a goalless draw away.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but lineups are unconfirmed; late changes could affect attacking output.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Wisla Plock 1–2 Legia WarszawaThe model projects a 2-1 win for Legia Warszawa, driven by their unbeaten away record and superior season-long scoring rate (1.79 per game). The main risk is Wisla Plock's tendency to keep games tight at home, where they've conceded only five in five, which could force a lower-scoring draw.
Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa: Common Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?
Legia Warszawa are favoured with a 45% win probability, compared to 25% for Wisla Plock and 30% for the draw. Legia's unbeaten away record and stronger attack underpin their edge.
Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, with both sides conceding at least 1.6 goals per game over their last five and BTTS landing in four of Legia's last five league matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability, supported by Wisla Plock's 54% season over 2.5 rate and seven of the last ten H2H meetings going over this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Wisla Plock vs Legia Warszawa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.