35 upcoming AI-powered predictions for World Friendlies
Friendlies
New Zealand
IndiaNew Zealand enter this international friendly at Go Media Stadium with a commanding analytical edge over India, driven by a 447-point Elo gap (1585 vs 1138) and a home rating that places them 68th in the world compared to India’s 165th. The model projects a clear gulf in quality, with New Zealand’s final expected goals at 2.
Friendlies
Uzbekistan
RussiaUzbekistan host Russia at the Pakhtakor Central Stadium in a friendly that, despite the home advantage, sees the visitors with a clear statistical edge. The analytical model gives Russia a 51.
Friendlies
Lithuania
SurinameLithuania and Suriname meet in a rare international friendly, with the model giving Suriname a slight edge. Suriname's Elo rating stands at 1431, 140 points higher than Lithuania's 1291, translating to a 39% win probability for the visitors compared to 32% for the hosts.
Friendlies
Malta
EswatiniMalta enter this international friendly with a clear statistical edge over Eswatini, backed by an Elo rating advantage of 88 points (1237 vs 1149) and recent form that has seen them collect 13 points from their last five matches. The model's blended expected goals, after factoring in momentum, sits at 1.
Friendlies
Singapore
ParaguayA vast gulf in quality separates Singapore and Paraguay as they meet at the National Stadium for this international friendly. The model assigns Paraguay a commanding Elo advantage of 696 points (1833 vs 1137), translating into an overwhelming 75.
Friendlies
United Arab Emirates
HondurasUnited Arab Emirates and Honduras meet in a friendly with little to separate them on paper, but the analytics model tips the scales slightly towards the hosts. Despite Honduras holding a modest Elo edge of 31 points (1571 vs 1540), the UAE’s recent attacking momentum—scoring 1.
Friendlies
Kuwait
SyriaSyria enter this friendly against Kuwait with a clear analytical advantage, underpinned by a +163 Elo rating gap (1491 vs 1328) and a strong 52% win probability from the model. Both sides have struggled defensively in recent outings, but Syria’s superior ranking and form momentum tip the scales further in their favour.
Friendlies
Saudi Arabia
South KoreaSouth Korea enter this international friendly with a clear analytical edge over Saudi Arabia, underpinned by an Elo rating advantage of 184 points (1752 vs 1568) and a global ranking gap of nearly 40 places. The model’s blended expected-goals output, after accounting for both sides’ attacking and defensive profiles, points to a low-scoring contest: South Korea are projected at 1.
Friendlies
Qatar
AustraliaAustralia enter this friendly in Doha as strong favourites, with the model assigning them a commanding 65. 1% chance of victory against hosts Qatar.
Friendlies
Jordan
IndonesiaJordan host Indonesia in Amman with a substantial Elo advantage—359 points separate the sides (1690 vs 1331)—yet the model projects a much closer contest than the rankings suggest. While Jordan's attack is typically reliant on the likes of A.
Friendlies
Colombia
ChileColombia enter this friendly in Cali with a commanding Elo advantage of +265 points over Chile, reflecting their status as the 7th-ranked side globally versus Chile’s 44th. The model’s expected goals line, after blending Elo and xG data, stands at 1.
Friendlies
Argentina
UruguayArgentina enter this friendly against Uruguay with a commanding analytical edge, powered by a 221-point Elo advantage (2113 vs 1892) and a recent run of flawless form. The model projects the Albiceleste to score 2.
Friendlies
Ecuador
Costa RicaEcuador host Costa Rica in Quito for a friendly that, on paper, is defined by a significant gulf in Elo ratings—Ecuador sit at 1933 (world rank 9), while Costa Rica lag behind at 1614 (rank 61), a difference of 319 points. The model's final expected goals after all adjustments stand at 1.
Friendlies
Peru
BoliviaPeru and Bolivia meet in Lima for a friendly that pits two struggling South American sides against each other, with the model giving Peru a slim edge. Despite holding a 50-point Elo advantage (1695 vs 1645) and a historical home dominance, both teams come into this fixture in poor form, reflected in a low overall confidence rating from the model.
Friendlies
Bahrain
YemenBahrain enter this friendly with a commanding Elo advantage of +267 points over Yemen (1418 vs 1151), positioning them as clear favourites on paper. However, the model's probabilities reflect a more nuanced outlook, granting Bahrain just a 44% chance of victory, with Yemen's win probability at 31% and the draw at 24%.
Friendlies
Japan
BrazilJapan welcome Brazil to the National Stadium in Kallang for a friendly that the analytics model expects to be both competitive and open. Brazil enter with an authoritative Elo advantage of 80 points (1984 vs 1904), translating to a 46.
Friendlies
China
MalaysiaDespite China holding a 130-point Elo advantage and home turf at Tianhe Stadium, the model gives Malaysia a 48% chance of victory in this international friendly. China's recent struggles in front of goal and a downward momentum adjustment have significantly dampened their expected output, while Malaysia's recent form has been notably strong, reflected in their boosted attacking projection.
Friendlies
Palestine
IranPalestine take on Iran in a World Cup 2026 friendly, with the analytics model tipping Iran as slight favourites. The Elo ratings show a substantial gap—Palestine's 1469 lags 291 points behind Iran's 1760, translating to a low 15.
FriendliesNew ZealandIndiaNew Zealand host India in Christchurch with the model assigning the All Whites a commanding edge, underpinned by a 447-point Elo advantage (1585 vs 1138) and a 72% win probability. The analytics reflect not only New Zealand's higher baseline quality but also a significant gulf in recent attacking and defensive output.
Friendlies
Kyrgyzstan
VietnamKyrgyzstan and Vietnam meet in a World Cup 2026 warm-up friendly, with the analytical model projecting a closely contested affair. Despite Vietnam's Elo edge of 60 points (1351 vs 1291), the probabilities are finely balanced: Kyrgyzstan are given a 40.
Friendlies
Andorra
AzerbaijanAzerbaijan travel to Encamp for a friendly against Andorra, with the model giving the visitors a commanding edge. The Elo ratings reflect a gulf in class, with Azerbaijan’s 1340 rating (ranked 122nd) towering over Andorra’s 1077 (175th), translating to an away win probability of 60.
FriendliesYemenMalaysiaYemen and Malaysia meet at Ali Muhesen Stadium in a friendly that the model expects to tilt Malaysia’s way, with a predicted 2-1 away win. Despite both sides lacking detailed player-level data, the analytics engine leans heavily on Malaysia’s Elo advantage of +142 points (1293 vs 1151) and their recent form, which includes four clean sheets in five matches.
FriendliesSingaporeBrazilSingapore welcome Brazil to the National Stadium for a friendly that, on paper, looks like a daunting mismatch. The model rates Brazil as overwhelming favourites, assigning them an 89% chance of victory, with Singapore’s win probability languishing at just 3%.
FriendliesChinaBahrainChina and Bahrain meet in Guangzhou for a friendly that the analytics model rates as almost dead even, with Bahrain holding a slight edge. The Elo ratings are nearly identical—China at 1423 and Bahrain at 1418—translating into a razor-thin expected scoreline (0.
FriendliesKuwaitHondurasKuwait hosts Honduras at the Al Sadaqua Walsalam Stadium in a friendly international, with the analytics model pointing to a clear advantage for the Central Americans. Honduras comes in with a hefty Elo edge of 243 points (1571 vs 1328), translating into a 52.
FriendliesJapanParaguayJapan enter this international friendly against Paraguay with a notable analytical advantage, underpinned by a 71-point Elo edge (1904 vs 1833) and a recent run of strong attacking form. The model sees Japan as slight favourites, assigning them a 49.
FriendliesQatarSouth KoreaSouth Korea arrive in Doha with a commanding analytical advantage over hosts Qatar, as reflected by a striking Elo rating gap of 327 points (1752 vs 1425). The model's blended expected goals line, after factoring in both sides' attacking and defensive metrics, stands at 1.
FriendliesSaudi ArabiaUzbekistanSaudi Arabia host Uzbekistan in a friendly where the analytics model sees a clear, but not overwhelming, edge for the visitors. Uzbekistan arrive with a 159-point Elo advantage (1727 vs 1568), ranking 38th globally to Saudi Arabia’s 71st, which sets the baseline for the model’s forecast.
FriendliesJordanAustraliaAustralia travel to Amman holding a clear edge in both Elo ratings and attacking metrics, but Jordan’s defensive organisation at home could keep things tighter than the raw numbers suggest. The model assigns Australia an Elo advantage of 93 points (1783 vs 1690), translating to a 54.
FriendliesRussia
VenezuelaRussia welcome Venezuela to the Ozon Arena in Krasnodar for an international friendly, with the analytics model giving the hosts a clear but not overwhelming edge. Russia's Elo rating of 1776, ranked 27th, stands 49 points above Venezuela's 1727 (ranked 38th), setting the baseline expectation for a home advantage.
Friendlies
IraqIranIran enter this World Cup 2026 friendly with a clear statistical edge over Iraq, as reflected by a 153-point Elo advantage (1760 vs 1607) and a 48% win probability from the model. Iraq, despite flashes of attacking promise from key players like A.
FriendliesChileColombiaChile welcome Colombia to Santiago for a high-profile friendly, but the analytics model sees a clear gap between the sides. Colombia's superior Elo rating (1975, world rank 7) dwarfs Chile's 1710 (rank 44), translating to a significant Elo edge of +265 points for the visitors.
FriendliesArgentinaCosta RicaArgentina return to Cordoba for a friendly against Costa Rica, with the model projecting a one-sided contest. The hosts boast a formidable Elo rating of 2113 (ranked 2nd globally), dwarfing Costa Rica’s 1614 (rank 61), and that 499-point chasm sets the tone for the prediction.
FriendliesEcuadorBoliviaEcuador enter this international friendly with a commanding edge over Bolivia, both on paper and in recent history. The model gives Ecuador a robust Elo advantage of +288 points (1933 vs 1645), translating to a 53.
FriendliesUruguay
Dominican RepublicUruguay enter this friendly with a commanding analytical edge over the Dominican Republic, as reflected in a massive 608-point Elo gap (1892 vs 1284) and a 77. 8% win probability.
Andorra
AnguillaArgentinaAustraliaAzerbaijanBahrainBoliviaBrazilChileChinaColombiaCosta RicaDominican RepublicEcuadorEswatiniHondurasIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqJapanJordanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLithuaniaMalaysiaMaltaNew ZealandPalestineParaguayPeruQatarRussiaSaudi ArabiaSingapore
Sint MaartenSouth KoreaSurinameSyriaUnited Arab EmiratesUruguayUzbekistanVenezuelaVietnamYemen